Mike_Rosen's Blog

Ellen Malcolm, who founded EMILY'S List 22 years ago to help women advance in politics, says that while she expects Hillary Clinton to do well in Texas on election day.  But she expects Barack Obama to have the advantage in  the caucuses, or precinct conventions, that follow that evening and start the process of awarding 67 of the state's 228 Democratic delegates.

Reason:  Malcolm says that Obama performs better in caucuses because women, who make up much of Clinton's base, are at a disadvantage.  The Texas caucus happens in the evenings after the polls close at 7:00.  And Malcolm says that women cannot attend because they have too many responsibilities in the home.  Elderly voters, another part of Clinton's base, are often challenged to go out in the evenings because of transportation and health issues.

Latest polls show Clinton and Obama in a statistical dead heat in Texas.  Malcolm says polls in this race have underestimated the female vote for Clinton, and she expects women will help the NY Senator have a strong showing next week.

Malcolm is in Austin for a couple days this week.  You can catch a live interview with her on Good Day Austin a little after 8:00am Wednesday.